GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia State League 1 · 6/13/2026, 5:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Adelaide Raiders · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Mediumconfidence

Adelaide Raiders are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while South Adelaide Panthers are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Adelaide Raiders hold a 44.4-point power-rating edge (70.6 v 26.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.6% in the South Australia State League 1, while Adelaide Raiders holds the strongest overall chance at 90% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Adelaide Raiders

Probability

90.2%

Model confidence

12.6%

Adelaide Raiders has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Adelaide RaidersLWWDL

GF 13 · GA 11 · avg 2.60/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
South Adelaide PanthersLDDWL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Adelaide RaidersSouth Adelaide Panthers
84.8Attack39.4
60.6Defence6.1
71.2Form22.7
70.6Power26.3
4.50xG0.77
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