GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia State League 1 · 5/30/2026, 5:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Adelaide Raiders · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Adelaide Raiders are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Modbury Jets are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Adelaide Raiders hold a 3.1-point power-rating edge (70.6 v 67.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.3% in the South Australia State League 1, while Adelaide Raiders holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Adelaide Raiders

Probability

39.3%

Model confidence

39.3%

Adelaide Raiders has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Adelaide RaidersWDLLW

GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Modbury JetsLWWWW

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Adelaide RaidersModbury Jets
84.8Attack69.7
60.6Defence69.7
71.2Form66.7
70.6Power67.5
1.71xG1.52
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