GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia State League 1 · 4/10/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Adelaide Raiders · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Adelaide Raiders are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Cumberland United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Adelaide Raiders hold a 15.8-point power-rating edge (70.6 v 54.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.4% in the South Australia State League 1, while Adelaide Raiders holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Adelaide Raiders

Probability

62.4%

Model confidence

62.4%

Adelaide Raiders has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Adelaide RaidersWWWWL

GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 2.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
Cumberland UnitedWWLLD

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Adelaide RaidersCumberland United
84.8Attack54.5
60.6Defence57.6
71.2Form51.5
70.6Power54.8
2.48xG1.15
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