GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia State League 1 · 5/23/2026, 5:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Adelaide Raiders · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Lowconfidence

Adelaide Raiders are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Adelaide Olympic are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Adelaide Raiders hold a 6.9-point power-rating edge (70.6 v 63.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.8% in the South Australia State League 1, while Adelaide Raiders holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Adelaide Raiders

Probability

53.4%

Model confidence

9.8%

Adelaide Raiders has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Adelaide RaidersDLLWL

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Adelaide OlympicWWLWL

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Adelaide RaidersAdelaide Olympic
84.8Attack63.6
60.6Defence62.1
71.2Form65.2
70.6Power63.7
2.15xG1.38
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