GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia NPL · 8/7/2026, 8:45:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

MetroStars · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Mediumconfidence

Adelaide Comets are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while MetroStars are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and metroStars hold a 30.4-point power-rating edge (36.0 v 66.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely result in the South Australia NPL, favouring MetroStars with 12.5% confidence, a 48% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

MetroStars

Probability

79.4%

Model confidence

12.5%

MetroStars has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Adelaide CometsDWLLL

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
MetroStarsDLLWW

GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Adelaide CometsMetroStars
31.7Attack81.0
42.9Defence63.5
27.0Form65.1
36.0Power66.4
0.70xG2.85
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