GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia State League 1 · 8/15/2026, 7:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Adelaide Cobras · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Adelaide Cobras are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Salisbury United are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Adelaide Cobras hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (34.4 v 31.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.4% in the South Australia State League 1, while Adelaide Cobras holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Adelaide Cobras

Probability

42.1%

Model confidence

11.4%

Adelaide Cobras has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Adelaide CobrasLLWDL

GF 1 · GA 9 · avg 0.20/1.80

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
Salisbury UnitedLLWLL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Adelaide CobrasSalisbury United
34.9Attack39.7
31.7Defence25.4
31.7Form22.2
34.4Power31.9
1.74xG1.50
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