GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia State League 1 · 5/30/2026, 5:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Adelaide Victory · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Adelaide Cobras are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Adelaide Victory are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Adelaide Victory hold a 20.5-point power-rating edge (33.6 v 54.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.9% in the South Australia State League 1, while Adelaide Victory holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Adelaide Victory

Probability

63.9%

Model confidence

63.9%

Adelaide Victory has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Adelaide CobrasLLLLL

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Adelaide VictoryDWWLW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Adelaide CobrasAdelaide Victory
33.3Attack60.6
31.8Defence48.5
30.3Form54.5
33.6Power54.1
1.06xG2.46
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