GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia NPL · 6/5/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Adelaide City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Adelaide City are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Sturt Lions are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Adelaide City hold a 25.2-point power-rating edge (71.7 v 46.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.8% in the South Australia NPL, while Adelaide City holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Adelaide City

Probability

71.8%

Model confidence

71.8%

Adelaide City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Adelaide CityWDDWL

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Sturt LionsWLLLL

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Adelaide CitySturt Lions
66.7Attack53.0
75.8Defence45.5
72.7Form40.9
71.7Power46.5
2.59xG0.81
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