GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia NPL · 8/7/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Adelaide City are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Playford City Patriots are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and adelaide City hold a 15.5-point power-rating edge (70.6 v 55.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the South Australia NPL, favouring a draw with 10.4% confidence, a 57% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

22.2%

Model confidence

10.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Adelaide CityWWDWW

GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Playford City PatriotsLWWLL

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Adelaide CityPlayford City Patriots
65.1Attack63.5
74.6Defence52.4
71.4Form50.8
70.6Power55.0
2.15xG1.00
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