GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia NPL · 7/4/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Adelaide City · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

Adelaide City are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Para Hills Knights are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 5.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Adelaide City hold a 60.0-point power-rating edge (71.7 v 11.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 93.9% in the South Australia NPL, while Adelaide City holds the strongest overall chance at 94% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Adelaide City

Probability

93.9%

Model confidence

93.9%

Adelaide City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Adelaide CityWWDWW

GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Para Hills KnightsLLLLL

GF 2 · GA 28 · avg 0.40/5.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Adelaide CityPara Hills Knights
66.7Attack24.2
75.8Defence0.0
72.7Form3.0
71.7Power11.7
4.50xG0.42
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