Adelaide Cityvs
MetroStars
COMPLETEDAustralia · South Australia NPL · 6/20/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Adelaide City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Adelaide City are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while MetroStars are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Adelaide City hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (71.7 v 67.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.9% in the South Australia NPL, while Adelaide City holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Adelaide City
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
39.9%
Adelaide City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60