GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia NPL · 6/20/2026, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Adelaide City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Adelaide City are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while MetroStars are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Adelaide City hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (71.7 v 67.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.9% in the South Australia NPL, while Adelaide City holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Adelaide City

Probability

39.9%

Model confidence

39.9%

Adelaide City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Adelaide CityDWWDD

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
MetroStarsWWWWD

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Adelaide CityMetroStars
66.7Attack80.3
75.8Defence65.2
72.7Form66.7
71.7Power67.5
1.56xG1.31
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