GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia NPL · 7/18/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Adelaide City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Adelaide City are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Croydon Kings are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Adelaide City hold a 20.6-point power-rating edge (71.7 v 51.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.4% in the South Australia NPL, while Adelaide City holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Adelaide City

Probability

70.4%

Model confidence

70.4%

Adelaide City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Adelaide CityWWWDW

GF 10 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Croydon KingsWWDWL

GF 16 · GA 8 · avg 3.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Adelaide CityCroydon Kings
66.7Attack69.7
75.8Defence37.9
72.7Form45.5
71.7Power51.2
2.92xG1.08
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