GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia State League 1 · 7/13/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Modbury Jets · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Adelaide Blue Eagles are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Modbury Jets are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Modbury Jets hold an 11.5-point power-rating edge (56.0 v 67.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.8% in the South Australia State League 1, while Modbury Jets holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Modbury Jets

Probability

49.8%

Model confidence

49.8%

Modbury Jets has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Adelaide Blue EaglesWLDWL

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Modbury JetsDDWDL

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Adelaide Blue EaglesModbury Jets
53.0Attack69.7
57.6Defence69.7
54.5Form66.7
56.0Power67.5
1.02xG1.71
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