AD Marco 09vs
Pacos Ferreira
COMPLETEDPortugal · Liga 3 · 8/9/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
AD Marco 09 are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Pacos Ferreira are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Marco 09 hold a 22.5-point power-rating edge (46.1 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 19.9% in the Liga 3, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.9%
Model confidence
19.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20