GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 8/7/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AD Ceuta FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

AD Ceuta FC are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Malaga are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Ceuta FC hold a 21.8-point power-rating edge (86.5 v 64.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while AD Ceuta FC holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AD Ceuta FC

Probability

47.9%

Model confidence

12.4%

AD Ceuta FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AD Ceuta FCWLLWW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
MalagaWDDWD

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
AD Ceuta FCMalaga
50.0Attack33.3
100.0Defence88.9
100.0Form66.7
86.5Power64.7
1.71xG1.20
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