Accrington STvs
Colchester
COMPLETEDEngland · League Two · 8/15/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Accrington ST · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Accrington ST are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Colchester are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Accrington ST hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (46.5 v 41.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.3% in the League Two, while Accrington ST holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Accrington ST
Probability
48.7%
Model confidence
12.3%
Accrington ST has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00