Accrington STvs
Bury
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 7/28/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bury · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Accrington ST are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Bury are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Accrington ST hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (16.5 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Bury holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bury
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
37.6%
Bury has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00