GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 6/20/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Acassuso are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while San Miguel are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and San Miguel hold a 4.9-point power-rating edge (40.3 v 45.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.9% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 19% BTTS chance and 10% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

51.9%

Model confidence

51.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AcassusoLWDWL

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
San MiguelDDDWL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AcassusoSan Miguel
24.6Attack24.6
59.4Defence66.7
30.4Form37.7
40.3Power45.2
0.53xG0.56
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