Acassusovs
San Miguel
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 6/20/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Acassuso are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while San Miguel are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and San Miguel hold a 4.9-point power-rating edge (40.3 v 45.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.9% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 19% BTTS chance and 10% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
51.9%
Model confidence
51.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40