Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Midland · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Acassuso are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Midland are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Midland hold a 17.2-point power-rating edge (40.3 v 57.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 30.6% in the Primera Nacional, while Midland holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 18% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Midland
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
30.6%
Midland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40