Acassusovs
Deportivo Moron
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera Nacional · 3/21/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Moron · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Acassuso are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Deportivo Moron are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Moron hold a 21.6-point power-rating edge (40.6 v 62.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.2% in the Primera Nacional, while Deportivo Moron holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Moron
Probability
53.2%
Model confidence
53.2%
Deportivo Moron has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80