GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 8/1/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Colon Santa Fe · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Acassuso are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Colon Santa Fe are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Colon Santa Fe hold a 16.8-point power-rating edge (40.3 v 57.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 26.7% in the Primera Nacional, while Colon Santa Fe holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Colon Santa Fe

Probability

47.2%

Model confidence

26.7%

Colon Santa Fe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AcassusoDLDLL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Colon Santa FeLLWWL

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
AcassusoColon Santa Fe
24.6Attack40.3
59.4Defence73.6
30.4Form54.2
40.3Power57.1
0.40xG0.96
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