GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 2/14/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Acassuso are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Chaco For Ever are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Chaco For Ever hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (40.3 v 42.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.7% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

46.7%

Model confidence

46.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AcassusoDWDDW

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Chaco For EverDLDLW

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
AcassusoChaco For Ever
24.6Attack30.4
59.4Defence59.4
30.4Form31.9
40.3Power42.8
0.65xG0.69
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