Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Academica · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Academica are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Feirense are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Academica hold a 47.5-point power-rating edge (88.7 v 41.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.2% in the Segunda Liga, while Academica holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Academica
Probability
59.8%
Model confidence
15.2%
Academica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20