GGOALVIO

Peru · Segunda División · 4/26/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Union Comercio · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Academia Cantolao are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Union Comercio are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Comercio hold a 40.5-point power-rating edge (28.0 v 68.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.2% in the Segunda División, while Union Comercio holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Union Comercio

Probability

65.2%

Model confidence

65.2%

Union Comercio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Academia CantolaoLWDWL

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Union ComercioWWDLD

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Academia CantolaoUnion Comercio
30.3Attack40.0
30.3Defence93.3
18.2Form70.0
28.0Power68.5
0.44xG1.72
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