Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
AC oulu are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Turku PS are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 52.5 against 53.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.1% in the Veikkausliiga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80