Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
KuPS · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
AC oulu are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while KuPS are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and KuPS hold a 15.4-point power-rating edge (52.5 v 67.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.3% in the Veikkausliiga, while KuPS holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
KuPS
Probability
47.3%
Model confidence
47.3%
KuPS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00