Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
AC oulu are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Gnistan are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 52.5 against 53.4. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.4% in the Veikkausliiga, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.4%
Model confidence
36.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00