Aberystwyth TownvsTreowen Stars

Aberystwyth Town are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Treowen Stars are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Aberystwyth Town hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (59.3 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.4% in the FAW Championship, while Aberystwyth Town holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.