GGOALVIO

Scotland · League Cup · 7/18/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Aberdeen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Aberdeen are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Queen's Park are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Aberdeen hold a 19.3-point power-rating edge (92.1 v 72.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.6% in the League Cup, while Aberdeen holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Aberdeen

Probability

44.6%

Model confidence

44.6%

Aberdeen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AberdeenWWLLW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Queen's ParkWWWDW

GF 13 · GA 2 · avg 2.60/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
AberdeenQueen's Park
91.7Attack75.0
83.3Defence66.7
100.0Form75.0
92.1Power72.8
1.95xG1.33
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