GGOALVIO

Scotland · League Cup · 7/25/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Aberdeen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Mediumconfidence

Aberdeen are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Kelty Hearts are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Aberdeen hold a 55.3-point power-rating edge (92.1 v 36.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.6% in the League Cup, while Aberdeen holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Aberdeen

Probability

74.5%

Model confidence

10.6%

Aberdeen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AberdeenWWWWL

GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Kelty HeartsWLDLL

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
AberdeenKelty Hearts
91.7Attack33.3
83.3Defence33.3
100.0Form33.3
92.1Power36.8
2.77xG0.88
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