GGOALVIO

Scotland · Premiership · 8/1/2026, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Heart Of Midlothian · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Aberdeen are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Heart Of Midlothian are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Heart Of Midlothian hold a 14.7-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 62.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.0% in the Premiership, while Heart Of Midlothian holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Heart Of Midlothian

Probability

39.0%

Model confidence

39.0%

Heart Of Midlothian has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AberdeenWWWWW

GF 13 · GA 2 · avg 2.60/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Heart Of MidlothianLWLWW

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
AberdeenHeart Of Midlothian
33.3Attack83.3
50.0Defence66.7
50.0Form50.0
47.8Power62.5
1.27xG1.48
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