Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aberdeen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Aberdeen are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Dundee are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Aberdeen hold an 8.8-point power-rating edge (92.1 v 83.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.3% in the League Cup, while Aberdeen holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Aberdeen
Probability
44.7%
Model confidence
11.3%
Aberdeen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40