GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 5/23/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

ABECAT Ouvidorense are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Operario Ferroviario are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and ABECAT Ouvidorense hold a 6.1-point power-rating edge (47.9 v 41.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.3% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

49.3%

Model confidence

49.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ABECAT OuvidorenseLDDLD

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Operario FerroviarioWLLLD

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
ABECAT OuvidorenseOperario Ferroviario
26.7Attack30.0
70.0Defence60.0
40.0Form30.0
47.9Power41.8
0.70xG0.48
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