ABECAT OuvidorensevsIpatinga

ABECAT Ouvidorense are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Ipatinga are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Ipatinga hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (47.9 v 52.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.4% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.