ABCvs
Nacional AM
SCHEDULEDBrazil · Serie D · 8/16/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ABC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
ABC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Nacional AM are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and ABC hold a 10.3-point power-rating edge (68.7 v 58.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 24.2% in the Serie D, while ABC holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
ABC
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
24.2%
ABC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00