Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
8%
LowconfidenceABB are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Guabirá are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and guabirá hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (43.7 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely result in the Primera División, favouring a draw with 7.6% confidence, a 79% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
21.9%
Model confidence
7.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ABBWDLLW
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
GuabiráWDWLW
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
ABBGuabirá
57.1Attack54.8
31.0Defence38.1
38.1Form50.0
43.7Power48.3
2.25xG2.13