Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bolívar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3
ABB are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Bolívar are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Bolívar hold a 25.2-point power-rating edge (43.7 v 68.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.0% in the Primera División, while Bolívar holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bolívar
Probability
73.6%
Model confidence
9.0%
Bolívar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00