Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aarhus · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Aarhus are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Viborg are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Viborg hold an 8.7-point power-rating edge (58.6 v 67.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Aarhus holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Aarhus
Probability
36.0%
Model confidence
36.0%
Aarhus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20