Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Brondby · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Aarhus are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Brondby are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Brondby hold a 24.5-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 72.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.4% in the Superliga, while Brondby holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Brondby
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
Brondby has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 17 · GA 9 · avg 3.40/1.80