Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Viking · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-3
Aalesund are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Viking are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Viking hold a 41.8-point power-rating edge (36.0 v 77.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.1% in the Eliteserien, while Viking holds the strongest overall chance at 86% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Viking
Probability
85.6%
Model confidence
11.1%
Viking has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00