Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Valerenga · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Aalesund are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Valerenga are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Valerenga hold a 7.9-point power-rating edge (36.0 v 43.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.0% in the Eliteserien, while Valerenga holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Valerenga
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
42.0%
Valerenga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 16 · avg 1.40/3.20
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40