Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Molde · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Aalesund are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Molde are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Molde hold an 18.0-point power-rating edge (36.0 v 54.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.4% in the Eliteserien, while Molde holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Molde
Probability
59.4%
Model confidence
59.4%
Molde has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00