GGOALVIO

Norway · Eliteserien · 3/15/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lillestrom · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Aalesund are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Lillestrom are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 4.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Lillestrom hold a 16.6-point power-rating edge (36.0 v 52.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.7% in the Eliteserien, while Lillestrom holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lillestrom

Probability

52.7%

Model confidence

52.7%

Lillestrom has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AalesundWLLLW

GF 13 · GA 11 · avg 2.60/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
LillestromDLWDW

GF 20 · GA 11 · avg 4.00/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
AalesundLillestrom
45.8Attack45.8
25.0Defence58.3
29.2Form52.1
36.0Power52.6
1.18xG2.00
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