Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aalesund · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Aalesund are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while hodd are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDDL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Aalesund hold an 11.8-point power-rating edge (51.9 v 40.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Aalesund holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Aalesund
Probability
48.5%
Model confidence
13.6%
Aalesund has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.20/1.00