Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Viborg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Aalborg are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Viborg are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Viborg hold a 7.9-point power-rating edge (59.3 v 67.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Viborg holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Viborg
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
Viborg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20