Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SGI · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Aabenraa are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (DLW), averaging 0.67 scored and 4.67 conceded, while SGI are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 2.50 scored and 2.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and SGI hold a 73.3-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 88.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.0% in the DBU Pokalen, while SGI holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
SGI
Probability
49.3%
Model confidence
8.0%
SGI has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 14 · avg 0.67/4.67
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 2.50/2.50