GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera División · 7/26/2026, 9:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Universidad de Chile · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

A. Italiano are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Universidad de Chile are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Universidad de Chile hold a 16.8-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 62.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.9% in the Primera División, while Universidad de Chile holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Universidad de Chile

Probability

46.0%

Model confidence

17.9%

Universidad de Chile has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

A. ItalianoWLWWW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Universidad de ChileWLWDW

GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
A. ItalianoUniversidad de Chile
40.7Attack42.6
53.7Defence77.8
37.0Form61.1
45.3Power62.1
0.66xG1.14
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