A. Italianovs
Nublense
COMPLETEDChile · Primera División · 8/11/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nublense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
A. Italiano are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Nublense are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Nublense hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (45.2 v 53.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.9% in the Primera División, while Nublense holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Nublense
Probability
35.6%
Model confidence
14.9%
Nublense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40