GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 3/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

9 de Julio Rafaela · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

9 de Julio Rafaela are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Independiente De Chivilcoy are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and 9 de Julio Rafaela hold a 9.3-point power-rating edge (51.4 v 42.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.3% in the Torneo Federal A, while 9 de Julio Rafaela holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

9 de Julio Rafaela

Probability

48.3%

Model confidence

48.3%

9 de Julio Rafaela has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

9 de Julio RafaelaLLWWW

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Independiente De ChivilcoyWWLDW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
9 de Julio RafaelaIndependiente De Chivilcoy
47.6Attack28.3
55.6Defence58.3
47.6Form33.3
51.4Power42.1
1.32xG0.68
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