2 de MayovsAlianza Lima

2 de Mayo are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Alianza Lima are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and 2 de Mayo hold a 6.5-point power-rating edge (56.2 v 49.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.7% in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, while 2 de Mayo holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.